Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Yokohama F·Marinos O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Yokohama F·Marinos O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Yokohama F·Marinos O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Kashima Antlers O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Kashima Antlers O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Kashima Antlers O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Yokohama F·Marinos 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Yokohama F·Marinos 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Kashima Antlers 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Yokohama F·Marinos 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Kashima Antlers 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Kashima Antlers 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Yokohama F·Marinos (-1.5) | 0% |
| Kashima Antlers (-1.5) | 0% |
| Yokohama F·Marinos (-2.5) | 0% |
| Kashima Antlers (-2.5) | 0% |
| Kashima Antlers 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Yokohama F·Marinos 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Yokohama F. Marinos meet Kashima Antlers with the market showing **0% YES**, which implies traders are effectively pricing no additional side markets beyond the core match-up. That is a very strong stance against a fixture that has often produced non-trivial volatility: Kashima have the better overall head-to-head record, with 20 wins to Yokohama’s 14 in FotMob’s database, and they also won the most recent league meeting 2-1 on 6 December 2025 after a 1-0 away win in February 2026[2][1][6]. Across broader H2H samples, Kashima still edge the series and the average goals profile has been above three per game in some datasets, which argues against treating this as a dead, low-event pairing[5][11][14].
The line should be most sensitive to team news and matchday availability rather than reputation alone. Recent form snapshots from Sky Sports and 365Scores show both clubs entering with mixed but not identical profiles: Kashima have tended to look tighter defensively, while Yokohama’s recent results have included heavier concessions in some runs[1][7][4]. The main catalyst to watch is the final XI and any late absences in defence or midfield, because this fixture has already shown a split between tight, one-goal outcomes and more open scoring patterns[1][8][16]. Any confirmed injury or suspension update close to kick-off would matter more than historical averages, particularly if it weakens Kashima’s compact shape or gives Yokohama more attacking balance.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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