Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FC Anyang O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Anyang O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FC Anyang O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Anyang 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 99% |
| FC Anyang 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 99% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 78% |
| FC Anyang 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 77% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| FC Anyang (-1.5) | 33% |
| O/U 5.5 | 32% |
| FC Anyang (-2.5) | 9% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5) | 2% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 (-2.5) | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC Anyang 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Bucheon FC 1995 face FC Anyang in the K-League this morning, with the market sitting at just 2% for the “more markets” outcome. That is a very low number for a domestic league match, but the underlying fixture data suggest this is not an obviously one-sided set-up: Sportradar’s match overview gives Anyang a 48% win probability, with Bucheon at 23% and the draw at 29%[2]. In other words, the crowd price is not tracking the basic 1X2 balance; it is instead implying that the extra markets attached to the game are unlikely to be triggered by whatever criteria this contract uses.
The historical frame is relatively cautious rather than explosive. FootyStats shows this fixture profile leaning modestly towards lower scoring, with only 33% of comparable meetings going over 2.5 goals and 67% over 1.5, both close to or below league norms[3]. That matters because low-scoring K-League games often compress the range of “more markets” outcomes, especially if the match state stays level into the second half. Anyang also rates stronger in goals scored in the head-to-head context, which supports the idea that the main scoring edge, if any, has sat with the visitors rather than Bucheon[3].
The key catalysts are the team sheets, late fitness calls, and any pre-match rotation, because those factors can change both the game script and the number of market-triggering events. With the match due at 6:30 AM ET and settlement at 10:30 UTC, traders will be watching the final line-ups and any late injury or suspension news right up to kick-off; NostraScore currently lists the fixture without published predictions, which reinforces how thin the public pre-match read is on this one[1]. Any confirmation of a weakened defence, a changed forward line, or unexpected absences would matter more here than broad season averages.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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