🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogTrade this market →

توقع: Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 74% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 61% Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins 51% NRFI 48% Volume: $191K Liquidity: $728K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
Open live market →
توقع: Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
74% 26% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
74% 26% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.574%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.561%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins51%
NRFI48%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.547%
O/U 8.545%
Spread -1.538%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.536%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.530%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.530%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.524%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.521%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.514%
Extra Innings7%
O/U 7.50%

Market context

The توقع: Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins prediction market currently prices this outcome at 74% YES. In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Miami Marlins, scheduled for July 12 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the ga…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 74% for "توقع: Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 74% Other 26%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $191K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

Trade توقع: Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins on توقعات المونديال

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Sports