Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| NRFI | 100% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Extra Innings | 0% |
| O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Detroit Tigers and Los Angeles Angels face off in a scheduled MLB game on 19 July at 4:07PM ET, with the Tigers having already secured a decisive 7-0 victory in their most recent meeting on 18 July and a narrow 2-1 win the day before [1][2]. The Angels broke this losing streak with a 3-2 win on 19 July, snapping a four-game skid, yet the crowd-implied probability of 0% for a Tigers win suggests the market has fully adjusted to the Angels’ sudden resurgence and the Tigers’ underlying volatility [3]. Historically, the Tigers have shown extreme form swings, winning 11 of 14 games since June 1 to climb within 5½ games of the Chicago White Sox in the AL Central, yet they previously lost 17 of their last 21 games and six consecutive series, indicating a team prone to rapid collapses that can invalidate short-term momentum [4][5].
Traders must monitor the starting line-ups and injury reports for Tarik Skubal, who pitched seven dominant innings in the 7-0 win, and Ryan Johnson, who allowed just one run in five innings for the Angels in their latest victory [1][3]. The Tigers’ recent 24-14 record since June 1 masks a fragile defence that has surrendered runs in multiple close contests, while the Angels’ reliance on RBI hits from Jorge Soler and Zach Neto could be disrupted if either player is rested or injured [3][4]. With the settlement window ending on 26 July 2026, any postponement will keep the market open until completion, but a cancellation or tie would resolve it 50-50, making weather conditions and bullpen availability critical dependencies for the final outcome [1].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $830K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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