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توقع: Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 74% O/U 6.5 65% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 61% O/U 7.5 54% Volume: $80K Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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توقع: Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
74% 26% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
74% 26% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.574%
O/U 6.565%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.561%
O/U 7.554%
NRFI49%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.548%
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners46%
O/U 8.545%
Spread -1.537%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.537%
Spread -1.534%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.531%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.528%
Spread -2.527%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.525%
Spread -2.524%
Extra Innings8%

Market context

The Detroit Tigers face the Seattle Mariners in a late-season matchup that has been priced close to a pick’em, with the crowd implying a 46% chance on Detroit. Recent market snapshots have generally made Seattle a modest favourite, with moneylines ranging from around Mariners -149 to -155 and Tigers +125 to +137, while totals have mostly sat in the 7.5 to 8.5 range, which points to a relatively low-scoring game where one swing or bullpen decision can matter more than raw offensive ceiling.[1][2][8]

The historical and recent head-to-head picture does not strongly separate the clubs. Seattle has taken seven of the past 10 meetings, but Detroit still leads the overall all-time series 237-218, so the matchup has not been one-way over a longer sample.[4] In early June, the teams split a short series with Seattle winning 4-0 on 6 June and Detroit answering with a 7-3 win on 5 June, which reinforces how quickly the balance can shift from game to game in this pairing.[10][12]

For traders, the main catalysts are the confirmed starters, late lineup changes and any bullpen availability news. Current previews have also framed Seattle as the side with the more stable recent form, noting the Mariners had won eight of their previous 10 at one stage and were still being shaded as the favourite on the road in this matchup.[4] Public betting has leaned towards Detroit in at least one recent market snapshot, with Tigers attracting 58% of bets despite Seattle being the moneyline favourite, which can matter if late team news pushes the price further towards the Mariners.[2]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 74% for "توقع: Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 74% Other 26%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $80K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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