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توقع: Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants

"توقع: Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 76% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 64% Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants 56% O/U 7.5 56% Volume: $290K Liquidity: $1.7M Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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توقع: Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
76% 24% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
76% 24% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.576%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.564%
Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants56%
O/U 7.556%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.550%
O/U 8.549%
NRFI48%
Spread -1.544%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.539%
O/U 9.539%
Spread -2.534%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.532%
Spread -1.528%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.527%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.527%
Spread -2.519%
Extra Innings8%

Market context

The Detroit Tigers’ visit to San Francisco is priced close to a coin flip, with the market leaning to Detroit at 56% yes while several books have the Tigers only a modest road favourite. That is broadly consistent with the wider market, where Detroit is trading around -127 to -132 on the moneyline and models cluster in the low-to-mid 50s for a Tigers win; one preview put Detroit at 56% and another at 52.1%, so the current crowd number is not an outlier.[2][6][7][15]

For historical context, this is not a matchup that normally produces a strong structural edge either way. Oddspedia’s head-to-head log shows Detroit leading the all-time series 9-6 across 15 meetings, but that is a small sample and does not by itself support a large price move.[8] The more relevant read is that traders are paying slightly more for the Tigers’ recent baseline than for home-field advantage at Oracle Park, which is why the line sits just off pick’em rather than around a clear road favourite.[2][7][13]

The main catalysts are late line-up and pitching updates, because the market has already baked in a tight total of 8.5 and a narrow favourite. San Francisco entered at 48-67 and Detroit at 56-59 in one current game preview, so any scratch, rest day, or unexpected starter change can matter more than broad season records.[11][17] Traders should watch for confirmed starting pitchers, same-day line-up cards, and any injury news before first pitch, since the edge in a game this evenly priced is usually determined by availability rather than by season-long team strength.[13][18]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 76% for "توقع: Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 76% Other 24%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $290K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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