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توقع: Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers

"توقع: Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 76% O/U 6.5 69% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 64% O/U 7.5 59% Volume: $240K Liquidity: $1.4M Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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توقع: Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
76% 24% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
76% 24% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.576%
O/U 6.569%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.564%
O/U 7.559%
O/U 8.552%
Spread -1.551%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.551%
NRFI49%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.542%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.539%
Spread -2.539%
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers33%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.528%
Spread -1.524%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.517%
Spread -2.516%
Extra Innings9%

Market context

The Kansas City Royals travel to face the Detroit Tigers in a game that the market is currently pricing at 33% for a Royals win, which is broadly in line with Detroit’s stronger home profile and superior overall record. Detroit are 27-23 at home and were listed as significant favourites, while Kansas City have struggled badly on the road at 17-33 and entered with a 43-60 mark overall.[1][5]

Recent form supports that split. ESPN’s pregame notes had Detroit 6-4 over the last ten with a 3.24 ERA, while Kansas City were 5-5 but carried a much worse 5.59 ERA and had been outscored by 25 runs over that span.[5] The season series also leaned Tigers, with Detroit ahead 4-2 entering the seventh meeting of the year, and the broader head-to-head history is close enough to matter but not enough to offset the current form gap: Detroit have won 157 of 300 meetings since 2002, compared with 143 for Kansas City.[5][6]

The main catalysts for late movement are the line-ups and the starting pitching confirmation, particularly because both clubs have notable injury uncertainty. ESPN listed Bobby Witt Jr. as day-to-day with a back issue, alongside other Royals absences, while Detroit had several pitchers and regulars on the injury report, including Casey Mize day-to-day and multiple players on the injured list.[5] If either side sits key bats close to first pitch, or if the announced starter changes from the projected matchup, the current 33% Royals price could move quickly; the game is scheduled for 22:40 UTC and will remain open if delayed or suspended until completed.[3][5]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 76% for "توقع: Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 76% Other 24%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $240K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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