Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Extra Innings | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox | 0% |
| NRFI | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
Market context
The New York Yankees and Chicago White Sox meet again in a series that has already tilted towards New York this season, with the Yankees holding the head-to-head edge and having won the most recent meetings by comfortable margins, including a 12-2 win and a 9-5 win in late July.[1][2][6][7] That matters for reading a 0% YES price: it suggests the market is treating the Yankees as a strong favourite, but not an automatic one, because the White Sox have already shown they can take this matchup into the later innings, including a 6-5 comeback win in 12 innings.[5]
Recent form also points in different directions. ESPN’s game logs show New York at 61-47 with a 7-3 last-10 record and a 3.13 ERA over that span, while Chicago is 56-51 and 5-5 in its last 10 with a 4.50 ERA.[7] The Yankees’ broader profile is still the cleaner one: they are 35-24 on the road and have produced stronger run prevention numbers than Chicago, which is one reason the market may be assigning very little win equity to a White Sox upset.[1][7]
The main catalysts are line-up and pitching confirmations before first pitch. ESPN’s preview notes significant Yankees injury absences, including Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, Cody Bellinger, Carlos Rodón and Clarke Schmidt, which can materially affect both power and rotation depth if any of those statuses change close to game time.[7] Chicago’s angle is whether its home form holds up: the White Sox are 33-21 at home and 39-14 when they score five or more runs, so any late scratch, rest day or bullpen availability issue is more relevant here than a season-long record line.[7]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $2.9M.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade توقع: New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox on توقعات المونديال
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →