Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Columbus Crew O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| New York City FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| New York City FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| New York City FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Columbus Crew 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| New York City FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Columbus Crew (-1.5) | 0% |
| New York City FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Columbus Crew (-2.5) | 0% |
| New York City FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Columbus Crew O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Columbus Crew O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| New York City FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Columbus Crew 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Columbus Crew 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| New York City FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Columbus Crew 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| New York City FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Columbus Crew hosted New York City FC in MLS on 22 July 2026, and the market’s 0% YES pricing on “more markets” looks consistent with the game already having been played and settled 2-0 to New York City FC.[2] For context, the underlying match itself was not projected as a one-sided shootout: Soccerway’s pre-match model had both sides on 26% to win and a 49% draw probability, while Flashscore and Soccerway both leaned towards a relatively low-scoring outcome, with under 4.5 or under 5.5 goals flagged.[1][3]
Historically, Columbus- NYCFC meetings often sit in a tight range rather than producing chaotic scorelines, which matters when assessing ancillary markets tied to goal totals, cards or late-match volatility. ESPN’s record shows a 0-0 draw between the clubs in March 2025, reinforcing the idea that this fixture can compress rather than open up.[4] That sort of profile usually leaves fewer “more markets” outcomes alive unless the teams are stretched by an early goal, a red card or a heavily rotated XI.
For a trader, the key catalysts were the confirmed line-ups, any late injury or suspension news, and whether either side had to manage minutes around a congested MLS schedule. In practice, those inputs matter more than the headline matchup, because “more markets” depends on the exact live state of the game — substitutions, disciplinary risk and game script — rather than the final score alone. With the match already completed, the only live dependency is the official settlement feed confirming the specific market definition and final grading.[2]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Columbus Crew vs. New York City FC - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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