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توقع: New England Revolution vs. New York City FC

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: New England Revolution vs. New York City FC" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Draw 100% New England Revolution 0% New York City FC 0% Volume: $135K Liquidity: $136K Closes: 23 Aug 2026
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توقع: New England Revolution vs. New York City FC

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Draw100%
New England Revolution0%
New York City FC0%

Market context

New England Revolution host New York City FC in an MLS fixture with a thin market signal on the home side, but the real-world setup is tighter than that implies. New England came in off a 3-0 win at D.C. United, while NYCFC had just lost 2-1 at home to FC Cincinnati, leaving both clubs with uneven recent form and little margin in a mid-table context. Their head-to-head record is broadly even over 30 meetings across all competitions, which tends to keep the pricing sensitive to line-up news rather than reputation alone.

The immediate catalysts are availability and late team sheets. New England were listed without Luca Langoni, Leonardo Campana and Ilay Feingold, while Brooklyn Raines was ruled out through suspension; Andrew Farrell was named among the bench options and Tylon Smith was unavailable for non-injury reasons. NYCFC’s injury list was longer, with Arnau Farnós, Kai Trewin, Aiden O’Neill, Drew Baiera, Alonso Martínez, Hannes Wolf, Thiago Martins and Maxi Moralez all reported as absent or questionable in pre-match team news, a cluster that matters because it strips depth from an already stretched squad. The line should be read through those final selections and any late confirmation on Thiago Martins, because defensive absences and attacking shortages have been the main variables moving recent MLS totals and moneylines.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Draw at 100% for "توقع: New England Revolution vs. New York City FC".

Draw 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $135K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: New England Revolution vs. New York City FC. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
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