Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| SK Brann 3 - 2 Rosenborg BK | 100% |
| SK Brann 0 - 0 Rosenborg BK | 0% |
| SK Brann 0 - 1 Rosenborg BK | 0% |
| SK Brann 1 - 0 Rosenborg BK | 0% |
| SK Brann 0 - 2 Rosenborg BK | 0% |
| SK Brann 1 - 1 Rosenborg BK | 0% |
| SK Brann 2 - 0 Rosenborg BK | 0% |
| SK Brann 0 - 3 Rosenborg BK | 0% |
| SK Brann 1 - 2 Rosenborg BK | 0% |
| SK Brann 2 - 1 Rosenborg BK | 0% |
| SK Brann 3 - 0 Rosenborg BK | 0% |
| SK Brann 1 - 3 Rosenborg BK | 0% |
| SK Brann 2 - 2 Rosenborg BK | 0% |
| SK Brann 3 - 1 Rosenborg BK | 0% |
| SK Brann 2 - 3 Rosenborg BK | 0% |
| SK Brann 3 - 3 Rosenborg BK | 0% |
| Any Other Score | 0% |
Market context
SK Brann’s 3-2 win over Rosenborg BK is the live result for this Eliteserien fixture, and the exact-score market has already landed on one of the higher-frequency outcomes in the pair’s recent meetings. The recent head-to-head has been tilted towards Brann, with five straight league meetings including Brann wins by 3-2, 2-1 and 3-0, plus a 0-0 draw in Bergen in May 2025[1][5].
That history matters because Brann and Rosenborg have not been especially consistent in producing tight, low-scoring draws when one side gets on top; among the last five competitive meetings, four produced at least three goals, while the draw was the outlier[1][2]. Broader H2H counts are more balanced over a longer sample, with sources showing Rosenborg slightly ahead on total wins, but Brann has had the sharper recent edge in this fixture[6][8][13].
For traders, the main catalysts before kick-off were team news and whether either side rotated from its usual attacking shape, because exact-score pricing is most sensitive to late changes in finishing quality and defensive continuity. Live line-up feeds from Sofascore and FotMob were the clearest places to watch for confirmed starters and any late absences, while the match was scheduled for 17:15 UTC / 13:15 ET, leaving little room for prolonged uncertainty once team sheets were released[4][6].
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK - Exact Score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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