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توقع: Club Alianza Lima vs. CS Huancayo - Exact Score

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Club Alianza Lima vs. CS Huancayo - Exact Score" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Club Alianza Lima 2 - 1 CS Huancayo 100% Club Alianza Lima 0 - 0 CS Huancayo 0% Club Alianza Lima 0 - 1 CS Huancayo 0% Club Alianza Lima 1 - 0 CS Huancayo 0% Volume: $43K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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توقع: Club Alianza Lima vs. CS Huancayo - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Club Alianza Lima 2 - 1 CS Huancayo100%
Club Alianza Lima 0 - 0 CS Huancayo0%
Club Alianza Lima 0 - 1 CS Huancayo0%
Club Alianza Lima 1 - 0 CS Huancayo0%
Club Alianza Lima 0 - 2 CS Huancayo0%
Club Alianza Lima 1 - 1 CS Huancayo0%
Club Alianza Lima 2 - 0 CS Huancayo0%
Club Alianza Lima 0 - 3 CS Huancayo0%
Club Alianza Lima 1 - 2 CS Huancayo0%
Club Alianza Lima 3 - 0 CS Huancayo0%
Club Alianza Lima 1 - 3 CS Huancayo0%
Club Alianza Lima 2 - 2 CS Huancayo0%
Club Alianza Lima 3 - 1 CS Huancayo0%
Club Alianza Lima 2 - 3 CS Huancayo0%
Club Alianza Lima 3 - 2 CS Huancayo0%
Club Alianza Lima 3 - 3 CS Huancayo0%
Any Other Score0%

Market context

Club Alianza Lima face CS Huancayo in a Peru Liga 1 Clausura phase match at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, with the fixture originally set for 19 July 2026 but now confirmed for 20 July 2026 at 24:00 local time [7][9]. The 0% crowd-implied probability on any specific exact score reflects the historical volatility of this pairing: across 33 to 42 recorded meetings since 2009, the most frequent outcome is a 1–1 draw (seven times), yet Alianza Lima has won 14–19 matches while Huancayo has secured only 6–11, creating a wide dispersion of possible scorelines that rarely repeat [1][4][5].

Traders should monitor pre-match line-up announcements for Alianza Lima, who hold superior recent form with 12 wins in their last 17 league games (2.35 points per game), versus Huancayo’s inconsistent 4–4–9 record in the same period [10]. A key suspension risk exists for Huancayo’s Yonatan Murillo, who faces automatic suspension if he receives a yellow card in this match after accumulating nine earlier cautions [6]. No major injury reports have emerged as of 20 July, but confirmation of Alianza Lima’s starting XI—particularly their attacking quartet that averaged 1.8 goals per match in their last five fixtures—will be the primary catalyst for scoreline probability shifts [11].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Club Alianza Lima vs. CS Huancayo - Exact Score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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