Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| IF Brommapojkarna O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| IK Sirius O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| IK Sirius O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| IK Sirius 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| IK Sirius 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| IF Brommapojkarna 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| IF Brommapojkarna (-1.5) | 0% |
| IK Sirius (-1.5) | 0% |
| IF Brommapojkarna (-2.5) | 0% |
| IK Sirius (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| IF Brommapojkarna O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| IF Brommapojkarna O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| IK Sirius O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| IF Brommapojkarna 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| IF Brommapojkarna 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| IF Brommapojkarna 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| IK Sirius 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| IK Sirius 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
This Allsvenskan fixture pits IF Brommapojkarna against IK Sirius at Studenternas IP in Uppsala, with the match scheduled for 10:30 AM ET on 12 July 2026. The 0% crowd-implied probability for the YES outcome suggests the market views the specific condition as virtually impossible, likely reflecting Sirius’s historical dominance in this pairing. Across 21 prior meetings, Sirius have won 10 times while Brommapojkarna have secured only seven victories, with a goal difference of 36–34 favouring the visitors [1]. In their last five encounters, Brommapojkarna won twice, drew twice, and lost once, averaging 1.2 goals per game, whereas Sirius have won 12 of the 21 direct matches overall [3][5]. Recent form also leans away from Brommapojkarna, with experts assigning them just 29.4% win probability compared to Sirius’s 43.4% [1].
Traders should monitor pre-match line-up announcements for suspensions or injuries, as both sides have shown high volatility in “both teams to score” markets—Sirius in 8 of 10 recent matches and Brommapojkarna in 6 of 8 [2]. The absence of any draws in the last four head-to-head games further narrows the range of plausible outcomes, making goal-based or win-margin conditions more sensitive to late squad news [4]. With the settlement window closing at 14:30 UTC on 12 July, any delay in kick-off or weather-related disruption could alter settlement logic, though no such risks are currently flagged. The key catalyst remains the final confirmed roster, particularly if Sirius deploy their usual attacking setup that has consistently outperformed Brommapojkarna in direct fixtures [1].
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: IF Brommapojkarna vs. IK Sirius - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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