Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
97% | 3% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
97% | 3% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 97% |
| Djurgardens IF O/U 0.5 | 95% |
| O/U 1.5 | 88% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 86% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 81% |
| Djurgardens IF O/U 1.5 | 79% |
| Djurgardens IF 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 73% |
| O/U 2.5 | 71% |
| Djurgardens IF (-1.5) | 60% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 60% |
| Halmstads BK O/U 0.5 | 56% |
| Djurgardens IF O/U 2.5 | 55% |
| Both Teams to Score | 53% |
| Djurgardens IF 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 49% |
| Djurgardens IF 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Halmstads BK 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Halmstads BK 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Djurgardens IF (-2.5) | 38% |
| Djurgardens IF 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 38% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| O/U 4.5 | 29% |
| Halmstads BK 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 28% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 23% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 20% |
| Halmstads BK O/U 1.5 | 20% |
| O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Halmstads BK 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 4% |
| Halmstads BK O/U 2.5 | 3% |
| Halmstads BK (-1.5) | 2% |
| Halmstads BK (-2.5) | 0% |
Market context
Djurgårdens IF face Halmstads BK in Matchday 12 of the Swedish Allsvenskan at Tele2 Arena, with the home side entering as strong favourites due to superior recent form and a dominant head-to-head record. Djurgårdens have won 20 of their 35 historical meetings against Halmstads, including 13 wins overall compared to Halmstads’ five, while the hosts have seen Over 2.5 Goals land in each of their last five Allsvenskan outings [3][6]. This historical weighting supports the 60% YES probability for the more markets outcome, mirroring past fixtures where Djurgårdens’ attacking consistency against a defensively vulnerable Halmstads unit produced high-scoring, multi-result games.
Traders should monitor the 1:00 PM ET line-up announcement for Kristian Lien, who has scored four times in his last six league appearances including a brace against Hacken, and verify if Djurgårdens’ recent clean-sheet drought (four matches) persists [2][3]. Halmstads’ struggle to stay up and their inability to contain Djurgårdens’ attack at home are key dependencies; the away side has conceded heavily in recent home losses, including a 10-man defeat in a prior Allsvenskan relegation clash [8]. With Djurgårdens returning to winning ways in their previous outing and Halmstads showing inconsistent form, the catalyst for settlement hinges on whether both teams score and if the match exceeds 2.5 goals, both statistically likely given the hosts’ recent scoring trends [3].
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade توقع: Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK - More Markets on توقعات المونديال
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →