Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Beşiktaş JK O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Beşiktaş JK 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Beşiktaş JK (-1.5) | 0% |
| Eyüpspor (-1.5) | 0% |
| Beşiktaş JK (-2.5) | 0% |
| Eyüpspor (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Beşiktaş JK O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Beşiktaş JK O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Eyüpspor O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Eyüpspor O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Eyüpspor O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Beşiktaş JK 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Eyüpspor 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Eyüpspor 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Beşiktaş JK 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Beşiktaş JK 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Eyüpspor 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Eyüpspor 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Beşiktaş JK will host Eyüpspor in a Süper Lig fixture on 16 August 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 19:30 local time (14:30 ET). The 0% YES probability on this market suggests traders are pricing near-certainty against a specific outcome—likely a Beşiktaş win or over/under goal threshold—though the exact settlement criteria remain opaque from the market title alone. Eyüpspor, historically a lower-tier club, gained promotion to Turkey's top division in 2023–24 and has competed in the Süper Lig since. Beşiktaş, a three-time European Cup winner and Istanbul heavyweight, typically enters such fixtures as heavy favourites.
Historical context matters: Beşiktaş's recent Süper Lig record against promoted or mid-table sides shows consistent dominance, though occasional draws have occurred when squad rotation or fatigue factors in. The 0% reading suggests either a market-clearing event (heavy backing of one outcome) or a settlement condition so specific that traders see negligible probability of its occurrence. Without explicit line details, the probability may reflect confidence in Beşiktaş avoiding defeat or a high-goal-count threshold being met.
Traders should monitor team news releases in early August for injury updates, European competition scheduling (which affects squad availability), and any late fixture changes. Eyüpspor's recent form and squad depth relative to Beşiktaş's rotation patterns will influence whether the favourites field a full-strength eleven. Confirmation of the exact settlement criteria from mondialpredict.com will be essential to calibrating fair odds against the current 0% reading.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Beşiktaş JK vs. Eyüpspor - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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