Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| OFI (-1.5) | 100% |
| OFI (-2.5) | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| OFI O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| OFI O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| OFI O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| OFI 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| OFI 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| OFI 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 10% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia (-1.5) | 0% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| OFI 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| PFK CSKA Sofia 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
Market context
A UEFA Europa League qualifying round match between OFI Crete and PFK CSKA Sofia is scheduled for 20 August 2026 at 14:00 ET. The fixture represents a two-legged tie, with this contest forming part of the tournament's early qualification stage. Both clubs enter from domestic leagues with limited European pedigree in recent seasons; OFI competes in Greece's Super League whilst CSKA Sofia operates in Bulgaria's top division. The current 100% YES probability on additional markets becoming available reflects near-certainty that supplementary betting options will open ahead of kickoff, a standard pattern for established sportsbooks covering Europa League fixtures.
Historical precedent shows that qualifying-round Europa League matches consistently attract expanded market offerings within 72 hours of fixture time. Bookmakers typically introduce alternative lines—correct score, both teams to score, player performance props—once team sheets are confirmed and injury updates finalise. CSKA Sofia's recent domestic form and any late squad changes will directly influence market depth; Bulgarian clubs often experience late withdrawals due to injury or administrative issues. OFI's Greek Cup performance in the preceding weeks provides context for their competitive readiness.
Traders should monitor official UEFA fixture confirmations and both clubs' official channels for lineup announcements, expected between 18–24 hours before kickoff. Any suspension carryovers from domestic competition or injury disclosures regarding key attacking or defensive personnel will trigger market adjustments. The settlement window closing at 18:00 UTC on match day creates a narrow window for market additions post-announcement but pre-match.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: OFI vs. PFK CSKA Sofia - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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