Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
70% | 30% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
70% | 30% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 70% |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 60% |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 52% |
| Ends before Round 3? | 45% |
| Decision or Draw | 44% |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 42% |
| Fight won by decision? | 42% |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 38% |
| Jessie Rosas vs. Sean King | 36% |
| King to win by KO/TKO? | 35% |
| Fight won by submission? | 35% |
| Ends before Round 2? | 35% |
| King in Round 1 | 31% |
| Rosas in Round 1 | 28% |
| King in Round 2 | 28% |
| King in Round 3 | 28% |
| Rosas to win by KO/TKO? | 27% |
| Rosas in Round 2 | 27% |
| Rosas in Round 3 | 26% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 70% probability to توقع: noche ufc: jessie rosas vs. sean king (featherweight, prelims). This market will resolve to "Jessie Rosas" if Jessie Rosas is officially declared the winner of the fight against Sean King at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026. It will …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $89K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Noche UFC: Jessie Rosas vs. Sean King (Featherweight, Prelims). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Trade توقع: Noche UFC: Jessie Rosas vs. Sean King (Feather… on توقعات المونديال
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