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توقع: Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 98% Map 2 Winner 97% O/U 2.5 Games 95% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5) 90% Volume: $201K Liquidity: $447K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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توقع: Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 98% 2% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 98% 2% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.598%
Map 2 Winner97%
O/U 2.5 Games95%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-4.5) vs Cloud9 (+4.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-5.5) vs Cloud9 (+5.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-3.5) vs Cloud9 (+3.5)90%
Match Winner68%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)56%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.551%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-4.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-5.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+5.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-6.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-7.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+7.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.549%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-4.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map Handicap: W7M (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)4%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)0%

Market context

The توقع: Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In prediction market currently prices this outcome at 98% YES. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 1 match between Cloud9 and Fluxo W7M in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 14 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Priya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi AnalystandAlex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market Analyst

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