Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Map 4 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 100% |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Gozen (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates GC (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates GC (-2.5) vs G2 Gozen (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 4 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates GC (-2.5) vs G2 Gozen (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 5 Rounds Handicap: G2 Gozen (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates GC (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 5 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates GC (-2.5) vs G2 Gozen (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 1% |
| Map 4 Rounds Handicap: G2 Gozen (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates GC (+2.5) | 1% |
| Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates GC (-2.5) vs G2 Gozen (+2.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 3 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates GC (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates GC (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Gozen (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates GC (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Gozen (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates GC (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: M8.GC (-2.5) vs G2 Gozen (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: M8.GC (-1.5) vs G2 Gozen (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates GC (-2.5) vs G2 Gozen (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
Market context
The توقع: Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs G2 Gozen (BO5) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Valorant Grand final match between Gentle Mates GC and G2 Gozen in the VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market w…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs G2 Gozen (BO5) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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