Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
56% | 44% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
56% | 44% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm | 56% |
| Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| O/U 176.5 | 53% |
| Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| O/U 177.5 | 51% |
| O/U 178.5 | 47% |
| O/U 179.5 | 44% |
| Ezi Magbegor: Points O/U 8.5 | 44% |
| Jordan Horston: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 38% |
| Jade Melbourne: Assists O/U 4.5 | 37% |
| Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 19.5 | 35% |
| Natasha Cloud: Points O/U 10.5 | 34% |
| Dominique Malonga: Assists O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| Jade Melbourne: Points O/U 9.5 | 33% |
| Jordan Horston: Points O/U 6.5 | 33% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 31% |
| Natasha Cloud: Assists O/U 5.5 | 31% |
| Jordan Horston: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 30% |
| Ezi Magbegor: Points O/U 7.5 | 28% |
| Dominique Malonga: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 28% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Assists O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Jade Melbourne: Points O/U 10.5 | 28% |
| Ezi Magbegor: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 26% |
| Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 20.5 | 26% |
| Jordan Horston: Points O/U 7.5 | 26% |
| Jade Melbourne: Assists O/U 5.5 | 25% |
| Natasha Cloud: Assists O/U 6.5 | 25% |
| Azurá Stevens: Assists O/U 2.5 | 23% |
| Natasha Cloud: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Natisha Hiedeman: Points O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Natisha Hiedeman: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Natisha Hiedeman: Assists O/U 5.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Chicago Sky travel to Seattle on 16 August for a regular-season WNBA matchup with playoff implications for both franchises. The current 56% implied probability favours Chicago, reflecting their status as slight road favourites despite playing away from home. Tipoff is scheduled for 5:00 PM ET, with settlement occurring immediately after the final buzzer.
Chicago's recent form has been inconsistent, oscillating between competitive performances and losses to lower-ranked opponents. Their roster depth has been tested by injury rotation, though key contributors including Kahleah Copper have maintained availability. Seattle, conversely, enters with a more stable lineup centred on Jewell Loyd and Nneka Ogwumike, though their mid-season consistency has wavered. The historical head-to-head record slightly favours Seattle in home games, though this season's matchups have been tightly contested. The 56% probability suggests the market is pricing Chicago's slight edge whilst acknowledging Seattle's home-court advantage and recent stabilisation.
Traders should monitor injury reports released within 48 hours of tipoff, particularly regarding Chicago's rotation players and any late-game availability decisions. Weather conditions are unlikely to affect an indoor game, but scheduling delays or postponements could extend the settlement window. Recent WNBA playoff seeding battles have made August fixtures consequential; both teams' remaining schedule strength will influence how aggressively either side plays. Any roster moves or unexpected absences announced after market opening could shift the probability materially, especially given the tight margin implied by the current odds.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $95K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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