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توقع: Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Sky

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Sky" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Veronica Burton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 83% Azurá Stevens: Points O/U 10.5 51% Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 13.5 50% Kamilla Cardoso: Rebounds O/U 8.5 50% Volume: $229K Liquidity: $937K Closes: 21 Aug 2026
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توقع: Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Sky

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
83% 17% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
83% 17% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Veronica Burton: Rebounds O/U 3.583%
Azurá Stevens: Points O/U 10.551%
Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 13.550%
Kamilla Cardoso: Rebounds O/U 8.550%
Kamilla Cardoso: Assists O/U 2.550%
Sydney Taylor: Points O/U 12.550%
Veronica Burton: Points O/U 12.550%
Natasha Cloud: Points O/U 9.550%
Azurá Stevens: Rebounds O/U 6.550%
Natasha Cloud: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 6.550%
Natasha Cloud: Assists O/U 5.550%
Natasha Cloud: Points O/U 10.550%
Courtney Vandersloot: Rebounds O/U 2.550%
Courtney Vandersloot: Assists O/U 4.550%
Azurá Stevens: Points O/U 9.550%
Gabby Williams: Points O/U 13.550%
Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.550%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Sky46%
Gabby Williams: Assists O/U 2.546%
Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 5.540%
Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.538%
Spread -5.530%
O/U 161.528%
O/U 162.527%
Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 14.525%
Spread -6.524%
O/U 163.524%
Gabby Williams: Points O/U 14.523%

Market context

The Golden State Valkyries meet the Chicago Sky in Chicago on 21 August, with the market sitting at 46% YES on Golden State. That looks broadly consistent with a matchup where the head-to-head edge favours the Valkyries: they have won four of the last five meetings, including a 91-71 home win on 12 August, and the most recent game was driven by Golden State’s depth and pace rather than a narrow late swing.

The current read is also shaped by Chicago’s injury load. Skylar Diggins remains out with a right knee issue, Rickea Jackson is out for the season, DiJonai Carrington is out with a foot injury, and Aicha Coulibaly has been listed as questionable in recent reporting[1][2][3]. Golden State have had their own absences, with Kiah Stokes and Janelle Salaun both missing recent games, while Iliana Rupert is out for the season[2][3]. The market should stay sensitive to any late confirmation on Coulibaly, because Chicago’s available ball-handling and perimeter defence are already thinner than usual.

For traders, the main catalysts are final line-up confirmations and any late change to the Sky’s injury sheet, especially if Coulibaly is upgraded or ruled out after warm-ups[1][3]. The game is scheduled for 7:30pm ET, so any postponement would keep the market open until completion, while a cancellation without a make-up would resolve 50-50 under the rules.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Veronica Burton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 at 83% for "توقع: Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Sky".

Veronica Burton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 83% Other 17%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $229K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Sky. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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