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توقع: Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Liberty

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Liberty" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Spread -8.5 49% O/U 187.5 49% Pauline Astier: Assists O/U 2.5 46% Spread -9.5 46% Volume: $131K Liquidity: $820K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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توقع: Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Liberty

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
49% 51% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
49% 51% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -8.549%
O/U 187.549%
Pauline Astier: Assists O/U 2.546%
Spread -9.546%
Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 18.542%
Nneka Ogwumike: Points O/U 16.542%
Rae Burrell: Points O/U 15.540%
Jonquel Jones: Points O/U 14.540%
Pauline Astier: Points O/U 7.537%
Rae Burrell: Rebounds O/U 2.537%
Rae Burrell: Assists O/U 2.536%
Jonquel Jones: Assists O/U 2.532%
Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 7.528%
Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 22.527%
Breanna Stewart: Assists O/U 3.526%
Jonquel Jones: Rebounds O/U 9.525%
Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 4.525%
Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 8.525%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Liberty24%
Nneka Ogwumike: Rebounds O/U 8.524%
Dearica Hamby: Rebounds O/U 7.524%
Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 5.524%
Nneka Ogwumike: Assists O/U 3.524%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, توقع: los angeles sparks vs. new york liberty stands at 49% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 13 at 8:00PM ET: If the Los Angeles Sparks win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Sparks". If the New York Liberty win, the ma…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -8.5 at 49% for "توقع: Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Liberty".

Spread -8.5 49% Other 51%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $131K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Liberty. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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Related Topics

Sports