Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
60% | 40% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
60% | 40% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 183.5 | 60% |
| O/U 184.5 | 56% |
| O/U 185.5 | 55% |
| Spread -12.5 | 54% |
| O/U 186.5 | 53% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| O/U 187.5 | 49% |
| Marina Mabrey: Points O/U 17.5 | 47% |
| Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 6.5 | 42% |
| Angel Reese: Assists O/U 2.5 | 42% |
| Allisha Gray: Points O/U 17.5 | 39% |
| Angel Reese: Points O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| Allisha Gray: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Marina Mabrey: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Nyara Sabally: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 29% |
| Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Marina Mabrey: Points O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| Rhyne Howard: Points O/U 17.5 | 27% |
| Allisha Gray: Assists O/U 2.5 | 27% |
| Nyara Sabally: Points O/U 14.5 | 26% |
| Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 26% |
| Rhyne Howard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| Angel Reese: Points O/U 15.5 | 26% |
| Nyara Sabally: Points O/U 13.5 | 26% |
| Allisha Gray: Points O/U 18.5 | 26% |
| Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 8.5 | 26% |
| Jordin Canada: Points O/U 10.5 | 25% |
| Rhyne Howard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 25% |
| Jordin Canada: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream | 14% |
Market context
Toronto Tempo visit the Atlanta Dream in a WNBA game scheduled for 10 August, and the market’s 14% YES price is in line with a firm Atlanta favourite rather than a close coin-flip. Across recent bookmaker screens, Atlanta has been priced from roughly -285 to -781 on the moneyline in comparable matchups, with implied win chances in the low-80s to low-90s; one current preview puts the Dream at -750 and the Tempo at +450, while another shows Atlanta -13.5 and a projected 100.0-86.5 scoreline[2][12]. That makes the market’s Toronto price broadly consistent with a road underdog needing a clear disruption to justify a win.
The best recent head-to-head reference is Atlanta’s 94-87 win over Toronto on 22 June, when Rhyne Howard led a balanced Dream attack and the result extended Atlanta’s recent dominance in the fixture[15]. A later preview also noted that Atlanta had won the last three meetings with Toronto[2]. For traders, that historical pattern matters because the current probability already bakes in the Dream’s edge; a move in either direction is more likely to come from late roster news, rest management, or a surprise shift in availability than from the matchup history itself.
The main catalysts are the official injury report, starting line-up confirmations, and any late changes around rotation players before tip-off. Current market screens show Atlanta being priced as a major favourite at home, so any absence on the Dream side would be the cleanest route to a repricing, while a weakened Toronto rotation would reinforce the existing market[2][12]. If the game is delayed or postponed, the market stays open until completion, but if it is cancelled with no make-up, it settles 50-50, so schedule disruption is a separate risk from on-court performance[market description].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $52K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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