Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
66% | 34% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
66% | 34% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 5.5 | 66% |
| Janelle Salaün: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 58% |
| Spread -11.5 | 58% |
| Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 56% |
| Julie Allemand: Assists O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| Spread -12.5 | 54% |
| Isabelle Harrison: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 54% |
| Gabby Williams: Points O/U 14.5 | 52% |
| Veronica Burton: Points O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Janelle Salaün: Points O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Janelle Salaün: Points O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Nyara Sabally: Points O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| O/U 164.5 | 50% |
| Janelle Salaün: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| Veronica Burton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Veronica Burton: Points O/U 12.5 | 48% |
| Isabelle Harrison: Points O/U 11.5 | 48% |
| Isabelle Harrison: Points O/U 12.5 | 48% |
| O/U 165.5 | 47% |
| O/U 166.5 | 45% |
| Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 6.5 | 45% |
| Nyara Sabally: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 43% |
| O/U 167.5 | 41% |
| Julie Allemand: Assists O/U 6.5 | 41% |
| Gabby Williams: Assists O/U 2.5 | 39% |
| Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries | 13% |
| Marina Mabrey: Points O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Marina Mabrey: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Toronto Tempo face the Golden State Valkyries in a game that has been priced as a clear Golden State lean, with market lines around Valkyries -11.5 to -13.5 and a moneyline near -279 to -899, while the crowd-implied win probability for Toronto sits at 13%. [1][2][9] That kind of pricing is consistent with a matchup where Toronto is being treated as a sizeable underdog rather than a live coin-flip.
The historical frame is straightforward: when these teams met on 8 July, Golden State won 83-75, and several previews had the Valkyries comfortably favoured on the spread and moneyline again for this meeting. [4][5][6] Golden State’s broader record has also been stronger, with ESPN listing the Valkyries at 23-21 and Toronto at 10-18, which helps explain why a low Toronto price can still be rational even without fresh injury shock. [17][9]
For traders, the main catalysts are lineup confirmation, late scratches and whether the market continues to hold the same gap once official team reports are in. The game is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET on 2 August, so any change in availability before tip-off can matter more than recent box scores; one preview specifically says Toronto are aiming to rebound from a blowout loss to Minnesota, which is the sort of form note that can keep pressure on the underdog side if it carries into the final injury report. [1] The settlement window runs until 3 August 00:30 UTC, so postponement risk stays relevant only if the fixture is delayed rather than completed on the night.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $89K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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