Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
65% | 35% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
65% | 35% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -9.5 | 65% |
| Spread -10.5 | 61% |
| Sonia Citron: Assists O/U 4.5 | 56% |
| Spread -12.5 | 54% |
| O/U 167.5 | 53% |
| Georgia Amoore: Points O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| O/U 168.5 | 48% |
| O/U 170.5 | 47% |
| O/U 169.5 | 47% |
| Michaela Onyenwere: Points O/U 7.5 | 45% |
| Georgia Amoore: Assists O/U 2.5 | 39% |
| Lauren Betts: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 36% |
| Sonia Citron: Points O/U 17.5 | 34% |
| Lauren Betts: Points O/U 6.5 | 34% |
| Sonia Citron: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| Kiki Iriafen: Points O/U 15.5 | 31% |
| Shakira Austin: Assists O/U 2.5 | 30% |
| Shakira Austin: Points O/U 19.5 | 28% |
| Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 10.5 | 28% |
| Kiki Iriafen: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 27% |
| Michaela Onyenwere: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 27% |
| Georgia Amoore: Assists O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| Sonia Citron: Points O/U 18.5 | 27% |
| Lauren Betts: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 26% |
| Isabelle Harrison: Assists O/U 2.5 | 19% |
| Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics | 13% |
| Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 4% |
Market context
The Toronto Tempo visit Washington on 19 August in a late-season WNBA fixture with significant playoff implications for both franchises. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30PM ET, with settlement occurring immediately after final whistle, including any overtime periods.
The 13% implied probability for a Toronto victory reflects the Mystics' home-court advantage and recent competitive standing within the Eastern Conference. Washington has maintained a stronger win-loss record through the 2026 season and holds a statistical edge in head-to-head matchups against Toronto over the past two years. Historical context matters here: visiting teams in WNBA games typically face a 3–5 percentage-point disadvantage relative to neutral expectations, and that gap widens further when the home side possesses roster depth and defensive cohesion. The Tempo's road record this season sits below their home performance, which partially explains why traders have priced Toronto as a significant underdog despite the franchise's mid-season improvements.
Key variables to monitor before settlement include injury confirmations for both rosters—particularly any late withdrawals from Washington's perimeter or interior defence—and whether either team receives rest-day adjustments given the compressed August schedule. The Mystics' recent form through early August has been inconsistent, with two losses in their last five games, though these came against playoff-contending sides. Toronto's trajectory has shown marginal improvement, but consistency remains elusive. Any roster announcements or official injury reports released within 48 hours of tipoff could shift the line materially, especially if either team's starting five faces unexpected absences.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $138K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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