Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 100% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 100% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% |
Market context
DN SOOPers and KT Rolster have already completed their KeSPA Cup 2026 Group Stage Round 1 League of Legends match, with KT Rolster securing a 1–0 victory in the Best of 1 fixture played on 20 July 2026 at 10:35 AM [2][3]. The result confirms KT Rolster as the winner, meaning the prediction market titled “LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO1) – KeSPA Cup Group Stage” will resolve to “KT Rolster,” rendering the current 0% YES probability for DN SOOPers accurate and settled [3].
Historically, KT Rolster dominates this head-to-head matchup, having won six of the eight prior encounters against DN SOOPers, including a 2–0 sweep in their most recent meeting on 30 May 2026 during the KeSPA Cup [3][5]. Although DN SOOPers previously claimed a 2–0 win over KT in the 2026 LCK Cup, that success in a longer series has not translated to single-game formats, where KT’s draft execution and early objective control have consistently prevailed [4][6]. In BO1 settings, variance is higher, but KT’s superior world ranking (#38 vs #69) and recent form (2 wins in last 5) further tilt expectations toward them [5].
Traders should monitor official match completion confirmations and forfeiture clauses, as the market resolves to the declared winner even if a team loses by walkover or disqualification [8]. No new roster announcements, suspensions, or injuries have been reported for either side ahead of this fixture, and the match has already concluded, eliminating any live catalysts [4]. The settlement window ending 2026-07-20T16:35:00Z aligns with the match’s actual completion time, confirming the outcome is final and no delay or cancellation conditions apply [3].
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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