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توقع: MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner

"توقع: MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Dylan Cease 46% Cam Schlittler 42% Jacob deGrom 3% Joe Ryan 2% Volume: $1.2M Liquidity: $56K Closes: 12 Nov 2026
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توقع: MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
46% 54% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
46% 54% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Dylan Cease46%
Cam Schlittler42%
Jacob deGrom3%
Joe Ryan2%
Logan Gilbert1%
Gavin Williams1%
Tarik Skubal0%
Garrett Crochet0%
Cole Ragans0%
Hunter Brown0%
Max Fried0%
Bryan Woo0%
Kyle Bradish0%
Ranger Suarez0%
Nathan Eovaldi0%
George Kirby0%
Carlos Rodón0%
Kevin Gausman0%
MacKenzie Gore0%
Jose Soriano0%
Pablo Lopez0%
Bryce Miller0%
Gerrit Cole0%
Parker Messick0%
player C0%
player D0%
player E0%
player F0%
player G0%
player H0%
player I0%
player J0%
player K0%
player L0%
player M0%
player N0%
player O0%
player P0%
player Q0%
player R0%
player S0%
player T0%
player U0%
player V0%
player W0%
player X0%
player Y0%
player Z0%
player AA0%
player AB0%
player AC0%
player AD0%
player AE0%
player AF0%
player AG0%
player AH0%
player AI0%
player AJ0%
player AK0%
player AL0%
player AM0%
player AN0%
player AO0%
player AP0%
Other0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 46% probability to توقع: mlb: 2026 al cy young winner. This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. I…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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