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توقع: Bulls vs. Raptors

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Bulls vs. Raptors" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 221.5 82% O/U 224.5 76% 1H O/U 106.5 74% Spread -3.5 72% Volume: $137K Liquidity: $2.3M Closes: 21 Oct 2026
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توقع: Bulls vs. Raptors

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
82% 18% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
82% 18% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 221.582%
O/U 224.576%
1H O/U 106.574%
Spread -3.572%
O/U 227.571%
Spread -5.566%
1H O/U 110.566%
O/U 230.564%
Spread -6.563%
1H Spread -2.562%
O/U 232.560%
O/U 233.559%
Spread: Raptors (-8.5)56%
Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 235.556%
1H O/U 114.556%
Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.554%
Spread -9.554%
O/U 236.553%
1H Spread -0.553%
Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 14.552%
Josh Giddey: Points O/U 14.551%
Immanuel Quickley: Rebounds O/U 3.551%
O/U 237.551%
Team to Score First50%
Odd/Even Score50%
Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 24.550%
Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.550%
Spread -10.550%
1H Spread -5.550%
1H O/U 107.550%
1H O/U 111.550%
1H O/U 115.550%
1H O/U 119.550%
1H O/U 123.550%
O/U 238.548%
Norman Powell: Points O/U 19.548%
1H Spread -10.547%
Spread -11.546%
RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 5.545%
Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 5.545%
O/U 240.544%
Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.542%
RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.542%
1H O/U 118.542%
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.541%
RJ Barrett: Points O/U 18.540%
1H Spread -8.540%
Spread -13.539%
Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 16.537%
O/U 243.537%
Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 18.536%
Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 8.536%
Caleb Wilson: Assists O/U 2.536%
Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 16.536%
Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 2.535%
Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 17.531%
Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 6.531%
Spread -16.531%
O/U 246.530%
1H O/U 122.530%
Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.528%
1H Moneyline28%
Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 6.527%
O/U 249.525%
Spread -19.523%
Bulls vs. Raptors21%
Spread -22.517%
Spread -2.517%
Spread -5.512%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 82% YES probability for توقع: Bulls vs. Raptors. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 21 at 7:30PM ET: If the Bulls win, the market will resolve to "Bulls". If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game is postpone…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 221.5 at 82% for "توقع: Bulls vs. Raptors".

O/U 221.5 82% Other 18%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $137K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Bulls vs. Raptors. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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