Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 19.5 | 93% |
| O/U 25.5 | 85% |
| O/U 31.5 | 67% |
| O/U 29.5 | 66% |
| O/U 27.5 | 64% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 63% |
| O/U 41.5 | 61% |
| O/U 33.5 | 60% |
| O/U 17.5 | 59% |
| O/U 21.5 | 57% |
| Giants vs. Jets | 55% |
| O/U 35.5 | 55% |
| Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| O/U 23.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 52% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 52% |
| O/U 36.5 | 51% |
| Giants vs. Jets: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 51% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 51% |
| Jets 1H O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| Giants 1H O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| Giants 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Jets O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Giants O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Giants O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Jets O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Jets O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jets O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Jets O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Giants O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Giants O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Giants O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Giants O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Giants by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Jets by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Jets by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Jets by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Jets by 21+ | 50% |
| Giants Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Jets Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Giants vs. Jets: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| Jets 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Jets 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Giants 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| O/U 37.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| Spread -4.5 | 41% |
| O/U 39.5 | 41% |
| O/U 45.5 | 36% |
| Spread -6.5 | 35% |
| O/U 43.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 26% |
| O/U 49.5 | 14% |
| O/U 55.5 | 7% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 93% probability to توقع: giants vs. jets. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 28 at 7:30PM ET: If Giants wins, the market will resolve to "Giants". If Jets wins, the market will resolve to "Jets". If the game is postponed, this mar…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $127K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Giants vs. Jets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Trade توقع: Giants vs. Jets on توقعات المونديال
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