Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 100% |
| Breece Hall: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Breece Hall: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Sam LaPorta: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Sam LaPorta: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Sam LaPorta: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Breece Hall: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Breece Hall: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Jameson Williams: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Jameson Williams: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Sam LaPorta: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: 2+ Touchdowns | 100% |
| Jeremy Ruckert: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Jameson Williams: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Sam LaPorta: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Completions O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Isaac TeSlaa: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Isaac TeSlaa: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Anytime Touchdown | 100% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 100% |
| Isaiah Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 124.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 100% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 100% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Garrett Wilson: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Braelon Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Isaac TeSlaa: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Isaac TeSlaa: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Isaiah Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| Isaac TeSlaa: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Isaac TeSlaa: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Isaiah Williams: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Sione Vaki: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Sione Vaki: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Jeremy Ruckert: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Jeremy Ruckert: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Jeremy Ruckert: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Breece Hall: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Arian Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Arian Smith: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Arian Smith: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 50% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 0% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 0% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Braelon Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Breece Hall: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Breece Hall: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Breece Hall: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| Breece Hall: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| Breece Hall: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 0% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 0% |
| Breece Hall: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 0% |
| Sam LaPorta: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Sam LaPorta: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Breece Hall: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Jameson Williams: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Sam LaPorta: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Sam LaPorta: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Braelon Allen: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Braelon Allen: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Breece Hall: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Breece Hall: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Brock Wright: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Brock Wright: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Garrett Wilson: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Geno Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Geno Smith: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jacob Saylors: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jacob Saylors: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jameson Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jameson Williams: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jared Goff: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jared Goff: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jelani Woods: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jelani Woods: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jeremy Ruckert: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Sam LaPorta: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Sam LaPorta: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Sione Vaki: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Sione Vaki: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Tay Martin: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Tay Martin: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Tom Kennedy: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Tom Kennedy: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Tyler Conklin: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Tyler Conklin: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| Mason Taylor: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Mason Taylor: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Isaac TeSlaa: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Isaac TeSlaa: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Isaiah Davis: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Isaiah Davis: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Isaiah Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Isaiah Williams: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jackson Meeks: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jackson Meeks: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Kenyon Sadiq: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Mason Taylor: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Mason Taylor: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Braelon Allen: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Breece Hall: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Brock Wright: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Garrett Wilson: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Geno Smith: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Isaac TeSlaa: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Isaiah Davis: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Isaiah Williams: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Jackson Meeks: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Jacob Saylors: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Jameson Williams: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Jared Goff: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Jelani Woods: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Jeremy Ruckert: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Mason Taylor: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Sam LaPorta: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Sione Vaki: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Tay Martin: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Tom Kennedy: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Tyler Conklin: Team First TD (Detroit Lions) | 0% |
| Isaiah Williams: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Malik McClain: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Malik McClain: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Malik McClain: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 0% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 0% |
| Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 349.5 | 0% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | 0% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 119.5 | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 119.5 | 0% |
| Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Adonai Mitchell: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receptions O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Braelon Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Isaiah Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Isaiah Williams: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Isaiah Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Isaiah Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| Jamaal Pritchett: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Jamaal Pritchett: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Sterling Shepard: Anytime Touchdown | 0% |
| Sterling Shepard: Team First TD (New York Jets) | 0% |
| Breece Hall: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 0% |
| Jamaal Pritchett: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Sterling Shepard: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, توقع: jets vs. lions - player props stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Jets and Lions, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00 PM ET.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Jets vs. Lions - Player Props. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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