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توقع: Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

"توقع: Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+4.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5) 100% Volume: $339K Liquidity: $338K Closes: 11 Jul 2026
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توقع: Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+5.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.552%
O/U 2.5 Games51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.550%
Match Winner48%
Map 2 Winner9%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-7.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+7.5)1%
Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-4.5) vs 100 Thieves (+4.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of توقع: valorant: 100 thieves vs nongshim redforce (bo3) - esports world cup playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant Semifinal 1 match between 100 Thieves and Nongshim RedForce in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 11 at 7:00AM ET. Thi…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Priya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi AnalystandAlex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market Analyst

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