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توقع: Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks

"توقع: Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

O/U 177.5 54% O/U 178.5 52% O/U 179.5 50% Spread -2.5 50% Volume: $85K Liquidity: $485K Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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توقع: Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
54% 46% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
54% 46% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 177.554%
O/U 178.552%
O/U 179.550%
Spread -2.550%
Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 15.547%
Rae Burrell: Rebounds O/U 2.547%
Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 7.547%
O/U 180.546%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks45%
Erica Wheeler: Assists O/U 4.545%
O/U 181.545%
Erica Wheeler: Rebounds O/U 2.544%
Rae Burrell: Assists O/U 2.544%
Dearica Hamby: Assists O/U 2.544%
Spread -1.543%
O/U 182.542%
Erica Wheeler: Assists O/U 5.534%
Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 8.533%
Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 7.531%
Dearica Hamby: Rebounds O/U 6.530%
Rae Burrell: Points O/U 14.529%
Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.529%
Nneka Ogwumike: Points O/U 15.528%
Erica Wheeler: Points O/U 8.528%
Nneka Ogwumike: Assists O/U 2.528%
Dearica Hamby: Points O/U 13.527%
Nneka Ogwumike: Rebounds O/U 8.527%
Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 16.526%
Kelsey Plum: Points O/U 19.50%
Kelsey Plum: Rebounds O/U 2.50%
Kelsey Plum: Assists O/U 4.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 54% probability to توقع: phoenix mercury vs. los angeles sparks. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 11 at 10:00PM ET: If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the Los Angeles Sparks win, the market will resolve to "L…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 177.5 at 54% for "توقع: Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks".

O/U 177.5 54% Other 46%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $85K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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Trade توقع: Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks on توقعات المونديال

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Related Topics

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