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توقع: Seattle Storm vs. PortlandFire

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Seattle Storm vs. PortlandFire" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 17.5 53% Carla Leite: Assists O/U 7.5 52% Seattle Storm vs. PortlandFire 50% Carla Leite: Points O/U 17.5 50% Volume: $96K Liquidity: $195K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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توقع: Seattle Storm vs. PortlandFire

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
53% 47% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
53% 47% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 17.553%
Carla Leite: Assists O/U 7.552%
Seattle Storm vs. PortlandFire50%
Carla Leite: Points O/U 17.550%
Flau'jae Johnson: Points O/U 15.550%
Carla Leite: Rebounds O/U 2.550%
Flau'jae Johnson: Points O/U 14.549%
O/U 179.549%
Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 18.548%
O/U 180.548%
Spread -1.547%
Bridget Carleton: Rebounds O/U 4.547%
Jade Melbourne: Assists O/U 4.545%
O/U 181.545%
O/U 182.543%
Megan DiLeo: Points O/U 15.539%
Bridget Carleton: Assists O/U 2.537%
Dominique Malonga: Assists O/U 1.536%
Natisha Hiedeman: Points O/U 16.534%
Megan DiLeo: Rebounds O/U 4.534%
Natisha Hiedeman: Rebounds O/U 2.532%
Dominique Malonga: Rebounds O/U 8.530%
Flau'jae Johnson: Rebounds O/U 4.530%
Bridget Carleton: Points O/U 15.527%
Flau'jae Johnson: Assists O/U 3.527%
Natisha Hiedeman: Assists O/U 5.526%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, توقع: seattle storm vs. portlandfire stands at 53% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 8 at 8:30PM ET: If the Seattle Storm win, the market will resolve to "Seattle Storm". If the PortlandFire win, the market will resol…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 17.5 at 53% for "توقع: Seattle Storm vs. PortlandFire".

Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 17.5 53% Other 47%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $96K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Seattle Storm vs. PortlandFire. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
and

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Related Topics

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