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توقع: World Cup: Player to score

"توقع: World Cup: Player to score" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Julián Álvarez 100% Lionel Messi 100% João Neves 100% Jude Bellingham 100% Volume: $1.3M Liquidity: $76K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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توقع: World Cup: Player to score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Julián Álvarez100%
Lionel Messi100%
João Neves100%
Jude Bellingham100%
Luis Díaz100%
Lautaro Martínez100%
Virgil van Dijk100%
Jamal Musiala100%
Nuno Mendes100%
Kevin De Bruyne100%
Désiré Doué100%
Cristiano Ronaldo100%
Ousmane Dembélé100%
Enzo Fernández100%
Mohamed Salah100%
Cody Gakpo100%
Ismaïla Sarr100%
Rafael Leão100%
Alexis Mac Allister100%
Gabriel Martinelli100%
Viktor Gyökeres100%
Arda Güler100%
Fabián Ruiz100%
Casemiro100%
Mikel Merino100%
Raúl Jiménez100%
Gonçalo Ramos100%
Mikel Oyarzabal100%
Lisandro Martínez100%
Bradley Barcola100%
Alexander Isak100%
Dan Ndoye100%
Granit Xhaka100%
Breel Embolo100%
Matheus Cunha100%
Wilson Isidor100%
Folarin Balogun100%
Julio Enciso100%
Kai Havertz100%
Leroy Sané100%
Amad Diallo100%
Nicolas Pépé100%
Keito Nakamura100%
Anthony Elanga100%
Charles De Ketelaere100%
Romelu Lukaku100%
Leandro Trossard100%
Iliman Ndiaye100%
Marcel Sabitzer100%
Yoane Wissa100%
Marcus Rashford100%
Ivan Perišić100%
Neymar Jr.100%
Dário Leite48%
Eberechi Eze30%
Bukayo Saka21%
Dani Olmo21%
Nico Williams15%
Declan Rice14%
Michael Olise14%
Ferran Torres13%
Rodri10%
Pedri10%
Rayan Cherki9%
Reece James7%
Marcus Thuram7%
Marc Cucurella6%
Marc Guéhi6%
Aurélien Tchouaméni4%
Gavi4%
Pau Cubarsí3%
N'Golo Kanté2%
Ibrahima Konaté2%
Jules Koundé2%
Martin Zubimendi1%
Federico Valverde0%
Bruno Fernandes0%
Raphinha0%
Moisés Caicedo0%
Gabriel Magalhães0%
Florian Wirtz0%
Antoine Semenyo0%
Joshua Kimmich0%
Alphonso Davies0%
Bernardo Silva0%
Cole Palmer0%
Luka Modrić0%
Denzel Dumfries0%
Jérémy Doku0%
Antonio Rüdiger0%
Tijjani Reijnders0%
Rúben Dias0%
Bruno Guimarães0%
Frenkie de Jong0%
Trent Alexander-Arnold0%
Vitinha0%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia0%
Robert Lewandowski0%
David Raya0%
Sadio Mané0%
Martin Ødegaard0%
William Pacho0%
Scott McTominay0%
Ryan Gravenberch0%
Fermín López0%
Joško Gvardiol0%
Marquinhos0%
William Saliba0%
João Pedro0%
Weston McKennie0%
João Cancelo0%
Christian Pulisic0%
Son Heung-min0%
Jeremie Frimpong0%
Kenan Yıldız0%
Kaoru Mitoma0%
Phil Foden0%
Kim Min-jae0%
Pervis Estupiñán0%
Noah Okafor0%
Abdulaziz Hatem0%
Ahmed Fathi0%
Igor Thiago0%
Endrick0%
Brahim Díaz0%
Josué Casimir0%
Che Adams0%
Ricardo Pepi0%
Miguel Almirón0%
Hakan Çalhanoğlu0%
Nick Woltemade0%
Lennart Kahl0%
Tahith Chong0%
Yann Bisseck0%
Ibrahim Sangaré0%
Teun Koopmeiners0%
Memphis Depay0%
Donyell Malen0%
Takefusa Kubo0%
Khalil Ayari0%
Omar Marmoush0%
Haissem Hassan0%
Chris Wood0%
Alexander Sørloth0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Emiliano Buendía0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Pedro Neto0%
Luis Suárez0%
James Rodríguez0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
Iñaki Williams0%
Ismael Díaz0%
Luis Javier Suárez0%
Darwin Nunez0%

Market context

توقع: World Cup: Player to score — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed player scores a goal during any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. A goal scored during regular t…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: World Cup: Player to score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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