Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Generali Open: Facundo Acosta vs Federico Cina | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Generali Open: Facundo Acosta vs Federico Cina Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Generali Open: Facundo Acosta vs Federico Cina Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Generali Open: Facundo Acosta vs Federico Cina Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Generali Open: Facundo Acosta vs Federico Cina Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Generali Open: Facundo Acosta vs Federico Cina Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Generali Open: Facundo Acosta vs Federico Cina Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Generali Open: Facundo Acosta vs Federico Cina Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Generali Open: Facundo Acosta vs Federico Cina Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Generali Open: Facundo Acosta vs Federico Cina Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Generali Open: Facundo Acosta vs Federico Cina Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Generali Open: Facundo Acosta vs Federico Cina Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Generali Open: Facundo Acosta vs Federico Cina Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Generali Open: Facundo Acosta vs Federico Cina Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Generali Open match between Facundo Diaz Acosta and Federico Cina has already concluded, with the Argentine advancing after a 2–1 set victory in Kitzbuhel on 20 July 2026. This result occurred at the ATP Austria Generali Open on clay, where Diaz Acosta recovered from a first-set loss to win 4–6, 6–3, 6–4 [3][4]. The market’s 100% YES probability reflects this completed outcome, as the settlement condition—Acosta advancing against Cina—has been fulfilled.
Historically, Diaz Acosta holds a perfect 1–0 head-to-head record against Cina, with the sole encounter also played on clay and ending in a three-set win for the Argentine [1][3]. Diaz Acosta’s 51.35% win rate on clay contrasts sharply with Cina’s 23.08% career win rate overall and 1–5 clay record in 2026, underscoring a clear form and surface disparity that has consistently favoured the Argentine in their limited meetings [3].
Traders should monitor official ATP confirmation of Diaz Acosta’s progression to the next round at Generali Open, as any withdrawal or injury post-match could alter settlement if the tournament rules void advancement. No new suspensions or injuries have been reported since the match, and the settlement window remains open until 27 July 2026, though the outcome is effectively determined [1][5].
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Generali Open: Facundo Acosta vs Federico Cina. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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