Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Cruz Hewitt Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Cruz Hewitt Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Cruz Hewitt Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Cruz Hewitt Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Cruz Hewitt Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Cruz Hewitt Match O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Cruz Hewitt Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Cruz Hewitt Match O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Cruz Hewitt Match O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Cruz Hewitt | 0% |
| Completed Match | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Cruz Hewitt Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Cruz Hewitt Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Cruz Hewitt Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Cruz Hewitt Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Zachary Svajda’s qualifying match against Cruz Hewitt at the Washington event is a first professional-level meeting, so there is no head-to-head history to lean on directly. That matters because the market is being priced almost entirely on baseline level and recent hard-court form, rather than any stylistic matchup evidence. Svajda enters with the stronger career and recent numbers in the available data: he has a much larger ATP-level profile, a higher hard-court win rate over the last 12 months, and is rated far above Hewitt in live ranking terms in the match feed.[1][2]
Comparable pricing also points towards Svajda being the more established player. Tennis.com’s preview listed him as the projected winner at 84%, and early odds cited by Tennis Tonic had him as a heavy favourite, which is broadly consistent with a market sitting at 0% YES on the underdog side.[5][6] Cruz Hewitt’s route is less proven at this level, with much lower career prize-money and a smaller sample of top-tier results in the supplied data.[1]
The main trader watchpoint is simple: whether the match is completed cleanly and within the settlement window, because any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond seven days would force a 50-50 outcome under the rules. On the tennis side, the key dependency is the official order of play and any last-minute qualifying schedule shifts in Washington; the available live score feeds show the match was on court and tightly contested, with Svajda leading in sets but the second set reaching a tiebreak, so completion rather than pre-match pricing is the near-term driver.[2][4]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Cruz Hewitt. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Trade توقع: Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary … on توقعات المونديال
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →