توقع: Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 13?

Platform comparison

Market context

San Francisco's peak temperature on 13 August 2026 will be measured at the airport weather station and resolved against historical daily observation records rather than summary high-low figures. The settlement window closes at midday UTC, capturing the full diurnal cycle through early morning on the 14th. Weather Underground's Daily Observations table serves as the authoritative source, with any discrepancies against the Day High & Low summary resolved in favour of the granular observation data.

August temperatures at San Francisco International Airport typically peak between 75–85°F, though the Bay Area's maritime influence keeps extremes moderate compared to inland California. Historical August records show the airport station rarely exceeds 90°F; the all-time August high stands at 96°F in 1990. Recent decades show a pattern of stable summer temperatures with occasional heat waves pushing into the mid-80s, but sustained 90°F+ readings remain uncommon at the coastal location. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders expect a below-range outcome, likely reflecting confidence in typical August conditions rather than anomalous heat.

Traders should monitor National Weather Service forecasts released in the week preceding 13 August, particularly any heat advisories or unusual atmospheric patterns. Pacific high-pressure systems and marine layer timing significantly influence daily maxima; an offshore flow event could elevate temperatures substantially above seasonal norms. Real-time forecast updates from NOAA and local meteorological services will clarify whether conditions favour typical coastal moderation or inland heat penetration during the settlement window.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 13?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.