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توقع: LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

Football snapshot for "توقع: LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

O/U 3.5 Games 75% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3? 59% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? 59% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4? 57% Volume: $513K Liquidity: $3.3M Closes: 6 Nov 2026
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توقع: LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 3.5 Games75%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?59%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?59%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?57%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?57%
Duration O/U 32:3052%
Duration O/U 32:3052%
Duration O/U 32:3052%
Duration O/U 32:3051%
Duration O/U 32:3051%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Game 1 Winner47%
Game 2 Winner47%
Game 3 Winner47%
Game 4 Winner47%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?44%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?43%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?43%
Match Winner41%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)41%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?41%
O/U 4.5 Games36%
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)26%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)18%
Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)11%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 75% YES probability for توقع: LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 1 match between Dplus KIA and Bilibili Gaming in the Worlds Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "D…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Priya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi AnalystandAlex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market Analyst

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