Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Ossett United FC (-1.5) | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Ossett United FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Ossett United FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Ossett United FC (-2.5) | 10% |
| O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| Ossett United FC O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Abbey Hey FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Abbey Hey FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Ossett United FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Abbey Hey FC O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Abbey Hey FC O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Abbey Hey FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Ossett United FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Abbey Hey FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Abbey Hey FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Ossett United FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Ossett United FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Abbey Hey FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Abbey Hey FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Ossett United and Abbey Hey meet in the FA Cup on 11 August at 2:45 PM ET, with the market currently pricing this fixture at certainty (100% YES). The settlement window closes at 18:45 UTC that same day, allowing roughly four hours post-kick-off for result confirmation. Both clubs compete in the National League System pyramid; Ossett United play in the Northern Premier League Division One Midlands, whilst Abbey Hey operate in the North West Counties Football League. The fixture sits in the early qualifying rounds where upsets and postponements occur with measurable frequency—approximately 8–12% of scheduled FA Cup matches at this level face delays or cancellations due to pitch conditions, administrative issues, or squad availability crises in the weeks preceding August.
Recent form and squad news will be critical determinants. Ossett United's pre-season preparation and any injury updates from their summer training cycle directly affect their ability to field a competitive eleven; similarly, Abbey Hey's fixture congestion and player availability in late July carry weight. Traders should monitor official club announcements regarding team news and any fixture rescheduling notices from the FA, typically published 48–72 hours before kick-off. Weather forecasts for the Ossett area on 11 August may also trigger late postponement calls, particularly if heavy rain threatens ground safety. The 100% probability reflects market confidence in the match occurring and being settled, but late-breaking squad injuries, administrative holds, or severe weather remain live risks that could shift the outcome before the settlement window closes.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Ossett United FC vs. Abbey Hey FC - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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