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توقع: LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

Football snapshot for "توقع: LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Match Winner 79% Game 1 Winner 69% Game 3 Winner 66% O/U 3.5 Games 65% Volume: $93K Liquidity: $426K Closes: 26 Sept 2026
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توقع: LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 79% 21% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 79% 21% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner79%
Game 1 Winner69%
Game 3 Winner66%
O/U 3.5 Games65%
Game 2 Winner64%
Game 4 Winner60%
Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)57%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?54%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?54%
Odd/Even Total Kills52%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?52%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
Odd/Even Total Kills48%
Odd/Even Total Kills48%
First Blood in Game 2?41%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?40%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?40%
First Blood in Game 1?39%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?39%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?38%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?38%
Game Handicap: FLY (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+2.5)32%
O/U 4.5 Games28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

توقع: LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 79%. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal match between FlyQuest and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will r…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Priya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi AnalystandAlex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market Analyst

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