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توقع: Türkiye vs. France - More Markets

"توقع: Türkiye vs. France - More Markets" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

O/U 0.5 97% France O/U 0.5 93% O/U 1.5 89% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 88% Volume: $631K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 25 Sept 2026
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توقع: Türkiye vs. France - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
97% 3% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
97% 3% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.597%
France O/U 0.593%
O/U 1.589%
2nd Half O/U 0.588%
1st Half O/U 0.582%
France 2nd Half O/U 0.578%
France O/U 1.576%
O/U 2.572%
France 1st Half O/U 0.570%
Türkiye O/U 0.564%
2nd Half O/U 1.561%
Both Teams to Score60%
France (-1.5)51%
O/U 3.550%
1st Half O/U 1.550%
Türkiye 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
France O/U 2.549%
2nd Half O/U 3.549%
2nd Half O/U 4.549%
Türkiye 2nd Half O/U 3.549%
Türkiye O/U 5.548%
Türkiye 1st Half O/U 3.546%
Türkiye 2nd Half O/U 0.544%
France 2nd Half O/U 1.544%
Türkiye 1st Half O/U 0.536%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half35%
2nd Half O/U 2.534%
France 1st Half O/U 1.533%
France (-2.5)30%
O/U 4.530%
Türkiye O/U 1.527%
France O/U 3.526%
Both Teams to Score in First Half23%
1st Half O/U 2.522%
France 2nd Half O/U 2.519%
O/U 5.516%
France (-3.5)14%
Türkiye O/U 4.512%
France O/U 4.512%
France 1st Half O/U 2.512%
Türkiye 2nd Half O/U 1.511%
Türkiye O/U 2.58%
1st Half O/U 3.58%
Türkiye 1st Half O/U 1.57%
France (-4.5)7%
France (-5.5)7%
O/U 6.57%
France 2nd Half O/U 3.57%
France O/U 5.55%
Türkiye (-1.5)4%
O/U 7.53%
1st Half O/U 4.53%
France 1st Half O/U 3.53%
Türkiye O/U 3.52%
Türkiye (-2.5)1%
Türkiye (-4.5)1%
Türkiye (-5.5)1%
O/U 8.51%
Türkiye 1st Half O/U 2.51%
Türkiye (-3.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 97% probability to توقع: türkiye vs. france - more markets. More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 25 at 2:45 PM ET.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Türkiye vs. France - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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