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توقع: Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

"توقع: Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Volume: $671K Liquidity: $708K Closes: 7 Aug 2026
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توقع: Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map Handicap: EG (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-5.5) vs FURIA Esports (+5.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-6.5) vs FURIA Esports (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-7.5) vs FURIA Esports (+7.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-8.5) vs FURIA Esports (+8.5)90%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-9.5) vs FURIA Esports (+9.5)90%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-10.5) vs FURIA Esports (+10.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-5.5) vs FURIA Esports (+5.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-6.5) vs FURIA Esports (+6.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.51%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, توقع: valorant: evil geniuses vs furia esports (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 group alpha stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant match between Evil Geniuses and FURIA Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for August 6 at 5:00PM ET. This marke…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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