Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Maria Timofeeva | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Maria Timofeeva Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Maria Timofeeva Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Maria Timofeeva Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Maria Timofeeva Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Maria Timofeeva Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Maria Timofeeva Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Maria Timofeeva Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Maria Timofeeva Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Maria Timofeeva Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Maria Timofeeva Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Maria Timofeeva Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Maria Timofeeva Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Maria Timofeeva Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Maria Timofeeva Game Spread +/-4.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for توقع: Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Maria Timofeeva. This market refers to the tennis match between Sorana Cirstea and Maria Timofeeva in the Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will res…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Maria Timofeeva. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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